Europe/Lisbon
Online

Frederico Caeiro, Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Adaptive tail inference using Probability Weighted Moments

In statistics of extremes, the upper tail inference is usually based on the sample values over a high threshold. In a semiparametric framework, we consider the probability-weighted moment estimator of a positive Extreme value Index. Due to the specificity of the properties of the estimator, a direct estimation of an "optimal" threshold is not straightforward. In this talk, we consider two adaptive procedures for choosing such a threshold. The performance of the methods will be analysed with a simulation study. An illustration with a real dataset in the field of insurance is also provided.

Joint seminar CEMAT and CEAUL