– Europe/Lisbon
SASlab (6.4.29) Faculty of Sciences of the Universidade de Lisboa — Online
Luis Gimeno-Sotelo, CEAUL and University of Vigo, Spain
Dependence modelling of extreme hydrological events in current and future climates
In this seminar, Dr. Luis Gimeno-Sotelo will provide an overview of his most recent advances on the extreme value analysis of the main hydrological extreme events (heavy rainfall and droughts) in terms of their main drivers. The most relevant statistical methods for non-stationary extreme value modelling will be presented, as well as a variety of methods from the copula theory to study bivariate extremes and conditional probabilities. He will explain the main applications of these statistical methodologies in the aforementioned environmental context, allowing for the identification of hotspot regions of high statistical dependence between the drivers and the hydrological extremes, as well as the analysis of the projected changes in the probabilities of occurrence of these extreme events in a global warming context.